Working Papers

Wartime coup attempts have two contrasting impacts—they increase the chances of short-term conflict management but reduce the chances of long-term conflict resolution.

Failed coup attempts reduce FDI inflows in extractive sector. The effect does not appear in other sectors.

Failed coup attempts reduce FDI inflows in extractive sector. The effect does not appear in other sectors.

UN peacekeeping operations are conventionally treated as independent of one another for the purposes of analyses. In fact, many of them …

Peace agreements with rebels who use illicit drugs as their funding sources are more likely to experience rebel splintering and post-war violence. This effect is mitigated when the peace agreements include territorial provisions.

Rebel groups that rely on drug-based financing are structurally less likely to pursue peace and more prone to fragmentation during negotiations, underscoring the unique challenges illicit economies pose to conflict resolution.